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The Dual Nature of Chaos and Order in the Atmosphere

Original article: https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13111892

Summary

This article argues that weather and climate should be viewed as a mixture of chaotic and ordered processes rather than as purely chaotic systems. Using Lorenz models and generalized Lorenz models, the authors show how steady-state, chaotic, and limit-cycle solutions can coexist under different parameter regimes. The revised view helps separate sensitive dependence on initial conditions from more predictable oscillatory or stable behavior, providing a framework for thinking about short-term limits and longer-range predictability within the same atmosphere.

Three types of solutions within the Lorenz 1963 model
Figure from Shen et al. (2022), Atmosphere, illustrating steady-state, chaotic, and limit-cycle solutions in the Lorenz 1963 model.